Stock Valuation: Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Ltd (2689)

Name of Company Country of Origin/ Exchange Traded Sector Stock Price
Basic Materials – Forest Products – Paper & Paper Products HKD8.46
@ 01 Oct 2018
COMPANY PROFILE Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Ltd is paper products manufacturer. Its products comprise of linerboard, corrugating medium and coated duplex boards, printing and writing paper, recycled printing specialty paper products.

Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Ltd is a Chinese paper products manufacturer. It is one of the largest companies which follow an environment-friendly approach in manufacturing paper directly and through controlling interests in other paper manufacturing companies. The company primarily produces liner board, corrugating medium and coated duplex boards. In addition to packaging paperboard, the Group is also engaged in the production of printing and writing a paper in Dongguan and Taicang and the development of packaging paperboard and specialty paper production in Leshan, Sichuan Province. Most of the company’s revenues are generated from the sale of corrugating medium and coated duplex boards and the rest from recycled printing and writing a paper, pulp specialty paper products business.

Stock Code 2689
Valuation Analysis Below

Nine Dragons Paper Price to EBIT

The Price Earnings (PE) Ratio is the most frequently used valuation indicator for a stock. However, there are times when this ratio cannot be used e.g. when the company reports a loss or profit is so minimal that it results in an abnormally high PE Ratio. Or Net Profit After Tax may be volatile and it is better to use Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) to value the company. We use the PE Band or Price/EBIT Band to show whether a stock is overvalued or undervalued based on its historical valuation.
At the price of HKD8.46 as at 01 Oct 2018, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Ltd is trading at a Price to EBIT Ratio of 3.2 times last 12 months earnings.  This is a 43.1% discount to its current fair Price to EBIT Ratio of 5.6 times. (Price based on the fair Price to EBIT Ratio of the company is indicated by the red line.)
Is the stock undervalued? One should not just look at one indicator to determine the fair value of a stock.
ProThinker believes in using a combination of valuation methods to decide whether a stock is over or undervalued? The five ratios we use are Price to Earnings, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Price to Book and Dividend Yield. We use multiple methods to value a stock because each has its benefits as well as shortcomings. Price to Earnings and Price to Cash Flow Ratios relate stock price to profitability but are meaningless when the comany has negative earnings or cash flows. Price to Sales Ratio is more stable because sales are never negative. However, this does not tell us whether the company is able to sell profitably. Price to Book Ratio gives us an indication as to how much we are paying for the company’s assets but it is not directly related to the company’s profitability. Dividend Yield cannot be used for companies that are paying little to no dividends.
While it is important to value stocks based on multiple valuation methods, this often leads to differing views on valuation. One indicator may suggest that a stock is overvalued while another suggest that it is undervalued. This does not help an investor who needs to make a definite decision whether to buy, hold or sell the stock. That is why we advocate the use of a Composite Valuation Indicator, which is derived from the best combination of the five indicators above. A Composite Valuation Indicator will give you ONE conclusion on whether a stock is under or over valued.
To find out more about our valuation methodology, click here. 
Source of Data: Company description, historical financial statements data and price data are from or Estimates are from – Thomson Reuters.
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