Stock Valuation: Hindalco Industries Ltd (HINDALCO)

Name of Company Country of Origin/ Exchange Traded Sector Stock Price
Basic Materials – Metals & Mining – Aluminum INR211.90
@ 17 Jul 2018
COMPANY PROFILE Hindalco Industries Ltd is engaged in production of aluminium and copper. Its products include continuous cast copper rods, copper cathode, sulphuric acid, DAP and complexes, gold and silver, hydrate and alumina, aluminium and aluminium products.

Hindalco Industries Ltd extracts raw materials and produces and sells industrial metals in two segments: Copper and Precious Metals and Aluminum. The Copper and Precious Metals segment, which generates the majority of revenue, purchases raw materials and produces continuous cast copper rods, copper cathodes, sulphuric acid, gold, and silver. The firm hedges its copper and other precious metals costs through futures contracts in an attempt to match commodity price changes between the time it purchases the raw materials and sells the finished products. The Aluminum segment mines bauxite and produces hydrate and alumina, aluminum, and aluminum-based products. The majority of Hindalco’s revenue comes from India. The firm is also expanding internationally with sales and operations worldwide.

Valuation Analysis Below

Hindalco Industries PE Ratio

The Price Earnings (PE) Ratio is the most frequently used valuation indicator for a stock. However, there are times when this ratio cannot be used e.g. when the company reports a loss or profit is so minimal that it results in an abnormally high PE Ratio. Or Net Profit After Tax may be volatile and it is better to use Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) to value the company. We use the PE Band or Market Cap/EBIT Band to show whether a stock is overvalued or undervalued based on its historical valuation.
At the price of INR211.90 as at 17 Jul 2018, Hindalco Industries Ltd is trading at a Market Cap/EBIT Ratio of 4.8 times last 12 months earnings.  This is a 4.8% premium to its historical average Market Cap/EBIT Ratio of 4.6 times. (Price based on the historical average Market Cap/EBIT Ratio of the company is indicated by the red line.)
Is the stock undervalued? One should not just look at one indicator to determine the fair value of a stock.
ProThinker believes in using a combination of valuation methods to decide whether a stock is over or undervalued? The five ratios we use are Price to Earnings, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Price to Book and Dividend Yield. We use multiple methods to value a stock because each has its benefits as well as shortcomings. Price to Earnings and Price to Cash Flow Ratios relate stock price to profitability but are meaningless when the comany has negative earnings or cash flows. Price to Sales Ratio is more stable because sales are never negative. However, this does not tell us whether the company is able to sell profitably. Price to Book Ratio gives us an indication as to how much we are paying for the company’s assets but it is not directly related to the company’s profitability. Dividend Yield cannot be used for companies that are paying little to no dividends.
While it is important to value stocks based on multiple valuation methods, this often leads to differing views on valuation. One indicator may suggest that a stock is overvalued while another suggest that it is undervalued. This does not help an investor who needs to make a definite decision whether to buy, hold or sell the stock. That is why we advocate the use of a Composite Valuation Indicator, which is derived from the best combination of the five indicators above. A Composite Valuation Indicator will give you ONE conclusion on whether a stock is under or over valued.
To find out more about our valuation methodology, click here. 
Source of Data: Charts are from ProThinker Stock Report. Company description, historical financial statements data and price data are from Estimates are from gurufocus and/or – Thomson Reuters.
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